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Jobs Available. Where Are the Workers?

Equity markets posted modest gains last week on strong economic news. The tech-heavy Nasdaq has continued to recover from the sell-off earlier in the year. It posted a gain of over 2%.
Jobless claims hit another pandemic low. The problem is, employers are still struggling to find workers for existing open positions. It’s a conundrum. If employers are unable to fill available positions, shortages will only get worse. Already the Commerce Department reported that orders for cars, appliances and other long-lasting durable goods fell a seasonally adjusted 1.3% in April from March.
Looking at pre-pandemic levels, U.S. employment is still down about eight million jobs. Surveys suggest many reasons the unemployed haven’t returned to work. Extra federal benefits along with state unemployment programs are just one. Fear of contracting Covid-19, schools remaining closed or only partially re-opened, and a lack of skills for available positions are some of the other reasons cited.
The chart below from ZipRecruiter highlights the challenge. The green bars show job postings. The connected black dotted line shows the labor force participation rate.

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The Markets and Economy
  • As the U.S. and the rest of the world works to get their economies humming again, many entertainment venues, restaurants, retailers and cruise lines are working diligently to prove to the public they are operating safely and ready for their return.
  • Corporate earnings for the first quarter have been outstanding. 86% of S&P 500 companies reporting so far have beaten estimates. That’s the highest percentage since 2008.
  • Bitcoins’ plunge continued last week as Chinese authorities moved to place new curbs on crypto-currency trading. Also, Fed governor Lael Brainard warned of the risks of using digital currency such as lack of transparency and price stability.
  • 125 years ago last Wednesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average made its debut. The index of 12 “smokestack” companies closed the first trading day, May 26, 1896 at 40.94; a far cry from today’s level of 34,529. Some notable names such as General Electric were listed there as well as some long forgotten ones like American Tobacco, American Cotton Oil, and, Distilling & Cattle Feeding.
  • Prices for new and existing homes in the U.S. continue to surge on strong demand and limited supply. The sharp rise in lumber prices is crimping builders desire to start new developments.
  • To jump-start its Prime Video streaming service, Amazon.com announced it has entered into an agreement to acquire the Hollywood studio MGM Holdings for $6.5 billion. The move is expected to help Amazon compete with heavyweights such as Netflix and Walt Disney Co.
  • China’s factory activity slumped in May due mostly to weaker export demand. However, consumer spending in the world’s second-largest economy held up last month.

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The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System.
Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice and are not intended as investment advice or to predict future performance.
Consult your financial professional before making any investment decision. You cannot invest directly in an index. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Note: All figures exclude reinvested dividends (if any). Sources: Bloomberg, Dorsey Wright & Associates, Inc. and The Wall Street Journal. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly.
Securities offered through Triad Advisors, member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advice offered through Resources Investment Advisors, LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser. Resources Investment Advisors. LLC and Vertical Financial Group are not affiliated with Triad Advisors.

David M. Kover, Thomas H. Parker, Bradford E. Harris, Laura T. Scobee, Joseph B. Thaman & Brett M. Dankowski are registered to recommend securities offered through Triad Advisors, member FINRA/ SIPC. Investment advice offered through Resources Investment Advisors, Inc., an SEC-registered investment adviser. Resources Investment Advisors, Inc. and Vertical Financial Group are not affiliated with Triad Advisors.